|Daily Blog • December 2, 2010|
Last year I started a weekly blog that included my surprise fantasy picks for each week of the college football season. Each week I picked the players that were flying under the radar and this year I have continued my weekly surprise fantasy picks. Last week I finished with a 9-3 record including maybe this season's single greatest fantasy performance by Toledo WR Eric Page who had two 90+ KR TD's, 12 rec for 127 yds and 2 TD's and also threw a 28 yd TD pass!. Overall on the season I am 99-41-17 (71%) and had a winning week each and every week!. To check out last week's picks click here. Here are my picks for this week.
My QB’s of the week are: Jeffrey Godfrey, UCF and Chandler Harnish, Northern Illinois
Jeffrey Godfrey, UCF-Godfrey has been spectacular since the injury to Calabrese and his completing 67% of his passes with an 11-6 ratio and is 2nd on the team with 535 rush yds (4.2) and 9 TD’s. This week in the CUSA Championship game he will be playing at home and face and SMU defense that is fairly avg giving up 140 rush ypg and 226 pass ypg. My computer calls for 176 rush/198 pass for the Knights and Godfrey should easily get 200+ ttl yds and a couple of TD’s in this one as UCF claims the CUSA Championship.
Chandler Harnish, Northern Illinois-Harnish has been incredibly efficient with a 66% comp rate and a 17-5 ratio this year while also adding 761 rush yds (6.4) and 5 TD’s. This week he does take on a very good Miami, Oh defense that is allowing just 300 ttl ypg in MAC play this year. However, in non-conf play they faced similar style offenses in Missouri and Cincinnati that spread you out and have mobile QB’s and they gained 469 and 609 yds respectively. This week my computer calls for 420 ttl yds for the Huskies and I think Harnish easily tops the 200 ttl yd mark in this one.
My RB’s of the week are: Lennon Creer, Louisiana Tech and Alex Green, Hawaii
Lennon Creer, Louisiana Tech-Creer leads the Bulldogs with 1,132 yds (5.8) and 10 TD’s and is coming off a career-high 252 yds (8.4) and 3 TD’s last week vs San Jose St. This week he takes on a Nevada rush defense that is allowing just 127 rush ypg (5.0) and has held 7 opponents to under 100 yds this year. However, the Wolf Pack are coming off their biggest win in school history (flat spot this week) and their run defense did give up 249 rush yds to Fresno St a couple of weeks ago and 225 yds to Cal earlier this year. Creer is one of the best backs they will face this year and I think he gets a 100 yds in this one.
Alex Green, Hawaii-How about a Hawaii RB with 1,000+ rush yds? Green has done just that this year with 1,032 yds (8.8!) and 16 TD’s and last week had an incredible 327 rush yds and 3 TD’s on just 19 carries (17.2) in the win over New Mexico St! This week he takes on a UNLV defense that is allowing 226 rush ypg (5.2) and it is not every week that my computer calls for 175 rush yds for this Hawaii offense but I think Green easily tops the 100-yd mark in this one and adds to his already impressive totals.
My WR’s of the week are: Marquess Wilson, Washington St and Lester Jean, FAU
Marquess Wilson, Washington St-Wilson leads the Cougars with 47 rec (19.5) and 5 TD’s as just a true frosh and goes up against a Washington pass defense that despite holding its last two opponents to under 100 yds passing still ranks in the middle of the pack when it comes to my pass defense rankings (#59). I look for the Cougars with their double bye week to showcase a very balanced attack and I think they clearly feature Wilson in the passing game as he should approach the 100-yd mark.
Lester Jean, FAU-Jean leads the Owls with 58 rec (16.1) and 8 TD’s this year and last week had 100 yds receiving and 2 TD’s against my #29 pass defense in Middle Tennessee. This week’s opponent Troy’s pass defense is one of the worst in the country allowing 287 pass ypg (62%) with a 29-10 ratio and my computer calls for 243 pass yds this week. I’ll call for Jean to have 100+ yds in this one on Senior Day.
My Top Defenses of the Week: West Virginia and Northern Illinois
West Virginia vs Rutgers-When you think of the top defenses in the country TCU, Ohio St or Nebraska may come to mind but the Mountaineers defense has been solid if not spectacular all season long and has held opponents to just 256 ttl ypg (#3 NCAA) and just 87 rush ypg (2.8, #2 NCAA!) This week they take on a Rutgers offense that has not had any consistency with the injuries to the QB position and their current starter Dodd is only avg 150 ypg (55%) with a 9-7 ratio. My computer calls for just 6 pts and 200 yds for the Knights as they slump to 4-8 while the WV moves to 9-3.
Northern Illinois vs Miami, Oh-The Huskies have been the most impressive MAC school this year outgaining their MAC foes by 200 ypg (487-287)! Their opponent Miami, Oh have been playing without their starting QB the last few weeks and have been feasting over the likes of Buffalo (2-10), Bowling Green (2-10), Akron (1-11) and a Temple team that had nothing to play for last week. This week will be different as my computer calls for just 14 pts for the Redhawks as the Huskies should roll to their first MAC Championship game win.
Upset of the Week: 4 str upsets and LW another winner with Maryland over NC State!
Pittsburgh over Cincinnati
Both of these teams have disappointed this season. Cincy’s stats are a bit misleading as they outgained Miami, Oh and Rutgers by a combined 610 yds and without those two gms they’re only +11 ypg. Pitt did win the 1st 7 meetings in this series but has dropped the L/2. LY Cincy trailed 31-10 w/1:26 left in the 1H, but pulled out a 45-44 come-from-behind win, scoring the GW TD w/:33 left in a gm Pitt led by 2+ scores for the majority. Pitt is off a devastating 35-10 loss to WV in which they lost their lead in the BE. Pitt had 20-13 FD and 362-360 yd edges but 2 TO’s in the 1H resulted in 14 pts for WV. Pitt QB Sunseri is avg 211 ypg (66%) with a 15-7 ratio. RB’s Graham (825, 6.3) and Lewis (695, 4.5) have split carries TY as each has had trouble with fmbls at times. UC’s 38-17 loss to Conn LW knocked them out of the bowls for the 1st time S/’05. QB Collaros threw 4 int LW but is avg 279 ypg (59%) with a 25-11 ratio. RB Pead has 932 rush (6.8). UC has a small edge on off (#33-44) but Pitt has large edges on def (#26-74) and ST (#26-64) and goes from facing the #4 def (WV) to Cincy’s #74 D and should end a disappointing regular ssn on a high note.
A special thanks to our friends at CollegeFantasyFootballInsider.com for providing us with their Week 14 Rankings
Still battling for a Championship? Here are the player rankings for Week 14.
Visit CollegeFantasyFootballInsider.com for more player rankings and projections.
A special thanks to our friends at CollegeFootballGeek.com for providing us with their Sneaky Plays for Week 14
CollegeFootballGeek.com’s Sneaky Plays – Week 14
By Kevin Mount, CollegeFootballGeek.com
The fourteenth and final week of the college football season is here and there may be some owners looking for some under the radar fantasy options. With a short slate of games this week, we will keep it short and sweet. Check out who we think could fill in nicely for fantasy teams in Week 14.
Nathan Scheelhaase QB Illinois vs. Fresno State: Scheelhaase has been a big part of the offensive revival the Illini has gone through this season. We like his chances to be successful this week against a suspect Fresno State defense. This game could easily be a high scoring affair and this kid could be a big part of the show.
Jordan La Secla QB San Jose State vs. Idaho: La Secla has been hot as of late averaging 326 yards passing per game and 11 passing touchdowns over his past four contests. He could have another solid outing this week against the Vandals and their 76th ranked pass defense. Another 300-yard game and a couple of scores seem just about right this week.
Chris Thompson RB Florida State vs. Virginia Tech: Thompson looks to be the main ball carrier this week as both Jermaine Thomas and Ty Jones appear to be out of action against Virginia Tech. The Hokies have been susceptible to the run this year and Thompson has shown some flashes of brilliance albeit sporadically. He probably won’t put up huge numbers, but something in the range of 75-100 yards and maybe a score seem attainable.
Alfred Morris RB Florida Atlantic vs. Troy: Morris has been a bit disappointing this season for fantasy owners, but looks to be primed for a big game this week against Troy. Morris receives just over 19 carries per game and could see even more against the Trojans 89th ranked rush defense. A 100 yards and a score sound about right to us.
Latavius Murray RB Central Florida vs. SMU: Murray looks to have planted himself atop the RB depth chart with his past two games in which he averaged 110 yards rushing per game and 3 rushing touchdowns. This bruiser could have another nice outing against an average SMU defense. We are thinking he will find his way to the end zone for the 3rd straight game.
Rishard Matthews WR Nevada vs. Louisiana Tech: Matthews was an absolute monster last week in the upset win over Boise State. He had 216 combined rushing and receiving yards to go along with 2 total scores. He could have another field day this week against an awful La Tech pass defense that ranks 117th in the country and gives up just over 300 yards per game. Look for another big stat line from Matthews this Saturday.
Tavon Austin WR West Virginia vs. Rutgers: Austin has multiple touchdown games in 2 of his past 3 contests and looks to improve upon that this week against Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights have not been able to stop anybody of late and could provide little resistance to the Mountaineers this week. It seems highly likely that Austin could find his way to pay dirt once again in Week 14.
Sneaky Play Defenses
Northern Illinois vs. Miami Ohio
West Virginia vs. Rutgers
UCONN vs. South Florida
There you have it everyone, enjoy this week’s action and always remember to have fun playing college fantasy football. Good luck in the Championships!
For more college fantasy football information, visit CollegeFootballGeek.com:
- Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em
- Injury Reports
- Player Stock Reports
- Player Rankings
- Sneaky Plays of the Week
- Waiver Wire Reports
CollegeFootballGeek.com is your home for 2010 college fantasy football content! Draft kit, injury reports, player news, player projections, player rankings, mock drafts, community forums, and much more!
A special thanks to our friends at CollegeFootballGeek.com for providing us with their Week 14 Player Rankings
|QUARTERBACKS||RUNNING BACKS||WIDE RECEIVERS|
|1||Bryant Moniz||HAWAII||1||LaMichael James||OREG||1||Greg Salas||HAW|
|2||Cameron Newton||AUB||2||Marcus Lattimore||SCAR||2||Alshon Jeffrey||SCAR|
|3||Colin Kaepernick||NEV||3||Vai Taua||NEV||3||Kealoha Pilares||HAW|
|4||Darron Thomas||OREG||4||Doug Martin||BOISE||4||Ryan Broyles||OU|
|5||Kellen Moore||BOISE||5||Mikel LeShoure||ILLINI||5||Aldrick Robinson||SMU|
|6||Jeffrey Godfrey||UCF||6||Jordan Todman||CONN||6||Juron Criner||ARIZ|
|7||Chandler Harnish||NIU||7||Chad Spann||NIU||7||TY Hilton||FIU|
|8||Kyle Padron||SMU||8||Zach Line||SMU||8||Jeffrey Maehl||OREG|
|9||Landry Jones||OU||9||DeMarco Murray||OU||9||Titus Young||BOISE|
|10||Dwight Dasher||MTSU||10||Jacquizz Rodgers||OREGST||10||Rishard Mathews||NEV|
|11||Geno Smith||WVU||11||Lennon Creer||LTECH||11||Lester Jean||FAU|
|12||Nick Foles||ARIZ||12||Darriet Perry||FIU||12||Austin Pettis||BOISE|
|13||Zach Collaros||CINC||13||Alex Green||HAWAII||13||Jon Baldwin||PITT|
|14||Tyrod Taylor||VTECH||14||Latavius Murray||UCF||14||Armon Binns||CINC|
|15||Nathan Enderle||IDAHO||15||Dion Lewis||PITT||15||Cole Beasley||SMU|
|16||Jordan La Secia||SJSU||16||Ryan Williams||VTECH||16||DJ Woods||CINC|
|17||Jake Locker||WASH||17||Thomas Merriweather||MIA-OH||17||Nick Harwell||MIA-OH|
|18||Brock Osweiler||AZST||18||Chris Polk||WASH||18||Jerrel Jernigan||TROY|
|19||Stephen Garcia||SCAR||19||Robbie Rouse||FRESNO||19||Jermaine Kearse||WASH|
|20||Nathan Scheelhaase||ILLINI||20||Keola Antolin||ARIZ||20||Markus Wheaton||OREGST|
|21||Corey Robinson||TROY||21||Isaiah Pead||CINN||21||Jock Sanders||WVU|
|22||Jeff Van Camp||FAU||22||Phillip Tanner||MTSU||22||AJ Jenkins||ILLINI|
|23||Wesley Carroll||FIU||23||Roy Helu||NEB||23||Jalal Beauchman||SJSU|
|24||Diondre Borel||UTAHST||24||David Wilson||VTECH||24||Tavon Austin||WVU|
|25||Austin Boucher||MIAOH||25||Cameron Marshall||ARIZST||25||Jamel Hamler||FRESNO|
|26||Omar Clayton||UNLV||26||Jonathan Franklin||UCLA||26||Mark Harrison||RUT|
|27||Ryan Katz||OREGST||27||Rex Burkhead||NEB||27||Kenny Stills||OU|
|28||Toni Sunseri||PITT||28||Tim Cornett||UNLV||28||Robert Woods||USC|
|29||Chas Dodd||RUT||29||Jordan Thomas||RUT||29||Justin Veltung||IDAHO|
|30||Christian Ponder||FSU||30||Ryan Clarke||WVU||30||Jeremy Deering||RUT|
|31||Ross Jenkins||LTECH||31||Noel Devine||WVU||31||Jamar Newsome||UCF|
|32||B.J. Daniels||USF||32||Moise Plancher||USF||32||Kerry Taylor||AZST|
|33||Jeff Tuel||WAZZU||33||Raymond Graham||PITT||33||Ronald Johnson||USC|
|34||Ryan Cobourn||FRESNO||34||Chris Thompson||FSU||34||Taylor Embree||UCLA|
|35||Richard Brehaut||UCLA||35||Derrvin Speight||UTAHST||35||Nathan Palmer||NIU|
|36||Cody Green||NEB||36||Jeremy Avery||BOISE||36||Armand Robinson||MIA-OH|
|37||Zach Frazer||CONN||37||Darrian Mallary||FIU||37||Josh Huff||ORE|
|38||Taylor Martinez (INJ)||NEB||38||Alfred Morris||FAU||38||Eric Greenwood||IDAHO|
|39||Matt Barkley (INJ)||USC||39||Kenjon Barner||OREG||39||Cameron Kenney||OU|
|40||Nicolas Grigsby||ARIZ||40||Niles Paul||NEB|
|41||Shawn Southward||TROY||41||Mohamed Sanu||RUT|
|42||Ronnie Weaver||UCF||42||Nelson Rosario||UCLA|
|43||Onterrio McCalebb||AUB||43||Jarrett Boykin||VTECH|
|44||Deantre Lewis||ARIZST||44||Darius Johnson||SMU|
|45||Shawne Alston||WVU||45||Jalan Saunders||FRESNO|
|46||Jermaine Thomas||FSU||46||Darvin Adams||AUB|
|47||Michael Dyer||AUB||47||Tyler Shoemaker||BOISE|
|48||Stanley Havili||USC||48||Dontavia Bogan||USF|
|49||Remene Alston||ORE||49||Jared Karstetter||WAZZU|
|50||Derrick Coleman||UCLA||50||Andrew Cruse||MIA-OH|
|1||Rob Housler||FAU||1||Scott Enos||HAW||1||Boise State|
|2||David Paulson||OREG||2||Michael Cklamovski||NIU||2||N. Illinois|
|3||Ryan Otten||SJSU||3||Rob Beard||OREG||3||Oregon|
|4||Kyler Reed||NEB||4||Wes Byrum||AUB||4||West Virginia|
|5||Joe Halahuni||OREGST||5||Chris Hazley||VTECH||5||Virginia Tech|
|6||James Hanna||OU||6||Derek Dimke||ILLINI||6||Connecticut|
|7||Virgil Green||NEV||7||Anthony Martinez||NEV||7||UCF|
|8||Philip Lutzenkirchen||AUB||8||Kai Forbath||UCLA||8||Hawaii|
|9||Andre Smith||VTECH||9||Dan Hutchins||PITT||9||Nebraska|
|10||Ben Guidugli||CINC||10||Matt Szymanski||SMU||10||Oklahoma|
|11||Kyle Efaw||BOISE||11||Alex Henery||NEB||11||Pittsburgh|
|12||DC Jefferson||RUT||12||Tyler Bitancurt||WVU||12||Auburn|
|13||Ryan Griffin||CONN||13||Dave Teggart||CONN||13||Illinois|
|14||Rhett Ellison||USC||14||Kevin Goessling||FRESNO||14||South Carolina|
|15||Chris Isbicki||WASH||15||Nick Cattoi||UCF||15||Arizona|
|For complete college fantasy football player rankings and statistical projections, visit the CFG Big Board.|
|Scoring System Used for CFG Rankings:|
|4 points per passing touchdown|
|6 points per rushing/receiving touchdown|
|25 passing yards = 1 point|
|10 rushing/receiving yards = 1 point|
|1 interception = -2 point|
|1 reception = 0.5 points|