|Daily Blog • October 7, 2010|
Last year I started a weekly blog that included my surprise fantasy picks for each week of the college football season. Each week I picked the players that were flying under the radar and this year I have continued my weekly surprise fantasy picks. Last week was one of my best weeks this year as I finished with a 9-3 record. My three surprise RB's combined for 661 yds (8.3) and 7 TD's and my WR's combined for 40 rec (15.5) and 6 TD's! Overall on the season I am 38-13-11 (68%). To check out last week's picks click here. Here are my picks for this week.
My QB’s of the week are: Aaron Murray, Georgia, Zach Collaros, Cincinnati and Kevin Riley, California
Aaron Murray, Georgia-The redshirt Freshman has not been the reason the Bulldogs are just 1-4 on the year as he is avg 220 pass ypg (61%) with a 8-3 ratio. This will be the 2nd week with WR AJ Green back in the lineup and I expect them to get their timing down even more against a Tennessee defense that is giving up 254 pass ypg to FBS this year. My comuter projects 313 pass yds for the Bulldogs and if Murray gets to that number, he will have a career day.
Zach Collaros, Cincinnati-There was a lot of hype surrounding Collaros before the season and he has put up really good numbers despite the Bearcats 1-3 start. Collaros is quietly avg 240 pass ypg (61%) with a 9-1 ratio and this is against the likes of Fresno St, NC State and Oklahoma. This week he faces a MAC defense in Miami and should continue to put up solid numbers as the Bearcats get the much needed win coming off a bye.
Kevin Riley, California-Riley is coming off a 127 yd performance two weeks ago against Arizona and this week takes on my #24 PDR so this is definitely a surprise. Cal has been a much better team at home lately under HC Tedford and they have beaten the Bruins by 20 ppg the last two years. LW the Bruins defense gave up 300+ yds to Washington St’s Tuel including 16 yards per completion. I think Riley has his most impressive performance of the year and easily throws for 200+ yards and gets at least 2 TD passes as the Bears get the win.
My RB’s of the week are: Ronnie Hillman, San Diego St, Lance Dunbar, North Texas and James White, Wisconsin
Ronnie Hillman, San Diego St-Hillman has run for 532 yds (6.4) and 7 TD’s already this year and when you consider that the Aztecs as a team ran for a combined 940 the entire 2009 season, he has had a remarkable year to date. This week he goes up against a BYU defense that has surrendered 929 rush yds the last three weeks and fired their DC. This has mismatch written all over it as the Aztecs and Hillman get the win and put up big numbers.
Lance Dunbar, North Texas-Despite all the injuries at North Texas Dunbar has remained the one consistent and last week had 141 rush yds (5.9) and a TD. This week he takes on a Arkansas St defense that is allowing 237 rush ypg (5.6) which ranks just #112 in the country. With the QB injury issues look for Dunbar to have another 100 yd + outing and maybe get a TD or two.
James White, Wisconsin-Anytime you go with a backup player, it has to be considered a surprise. White has been a great compliment to John Clay so far this season and has 368 rush yds (8.4!) and 6 TD’s. Clay has been troubled with some injuries the past couple of weeks and last week’s game against Michigan St had his 10 game streak of running for 100+ yds snapped. White came in and ran for 98 yds (9.8) and had 2 TD’s. My computer forecasts 280 rush yds for the Badgers which could see both Clay and White top the 100 yd mark.
My WR’s of the week are: DJ Woods, Cincinnati, Marvin Jones, California and Theo Riddick, Notre Dame
DJ Woods, Cincinnati-Woods leads the Bearcats with 24 rec (17.9) and 4 TD’s. In his last game two weeks ago against Oklahoma, Woods had 171 yds (24.4!) but had a couple of key fumbles in the loss. This week he goes up against a Miami, Ohio secondary and I look for him to have 100+ yds receiving and atone for the mistakes against the Sooners.
Marvin Jones, California-Jones leads the Bears with 24 rec (15.0) and 2 TD’s and this week he goes up against a UCLA defense which gave up 300+ yds passing to Washington St last week. The Cal offense has had a lot of success against the Bruins the last couple of years avg 43 ppg and I expect more of the same here with Jones putting up some good numbers.
Theo Riddick, Notre Dame-Riddick was moved from RB to slot in the spring and it has paid off for him and he actually leads the Irish with 30 rec (10.7) and 3 TD’s despite playing along side of All-American candidates Floyd and Rudolph. This week my computer projects 315 yds passing for Notre Dame and if they get close to that number, Riddick should have another big game as teams continue to focus more on Floyd and Rudolph.
My Top Defenses of the Week: USF, Georgia and Florida
USF vs Syracuse-The Syracuse offense, which has put up some good numbers against the likes of Akron, Maine and Colgate makes a huge leap here in competition as they take on a USF defense that is giving up 299 ypg. The Orange have never beaten the Bulls and my computer does not think they will be close this year as it calls for the Orange to have just 278 yds and 20 pts.
Georgia vs Tennessee-Georgia is just 1-4 this year and desperately need a win here. They are playing with legitimate revenge year after getting whipped 45-19 LY in Knoxville. Despite the tough start the Bulldogs still have my #25 defense and will take on a #75 offense that is still adjusting to the new schemes of HC Dooley. My computer projects just 17 pts and 240 yds for the Volunteers as Georgia ends their first 4 game losing streak since 1990.
Florida vs LSU-This is a surprise pick since LSU’s offense gained 434 yds last week and the Florida defense gave up 31 points. When you look closer at those numbers though, LSU’s offense turned the ball over four times against Tennessee last week and is avg just 24 ppg and 326 ypg despite the 5-0 start. Florida’s defense meanwhile gave up just 269 total yds in the loss to Alabama and teams are avg just 290 ypg against them this year. Last year the Gators defense held the Tigers to just 162 ttl yds which was the fewest for a LSU offense in any game since 2000. My computer projects more of the same this year with the Tigers scoring just 14 points and gaining just 192 yds.
Upset of the Week:
Wake Forest over Navy
This is the 5 meeting between these two teams over the past four years (2-2). LY Navy QB Dobbs and their #2 rusher were both out with inj's and backup QB Proctor made his first career start. Proctor ran for 89 yds and a TD but did not attempt a pass in a driving rainstorm as Navy won 13-10. Wake Forest does have the edge of facing the same option offense last week in Georgia Tech and allowed 209 rush (4.4) in a 24-20 loss. Navy meanwhile is off their first loss to Air Force since 2002 and maybe a little flat here. WF HC Grobe knows the option well from his time as an asst at Air Force and the Demon Deacons get the upset.
A special thanks to our friends at CollegeFantasyFootballInsider.com for providing us with their Week 6 Rankings
Conference play is in full swing, which can be good and bad for fantasy owners. This is the time of year where we usually start to see players from the weaker conferences (Sun Belt, WAC, etc) to start to put up gaudy numbers. But there are still plenty of studs from the BCS ranks like LaMichael James and Denard Robinson. It’s all about finding the right balance. Below are the college fantasy football rankings for Week Six.
Visit CollegeFantasyFootballInsider.com for more player rankings and projections.
A special thanks to our friends at CollegeFootballGeek.com for providing us with their Sneaky Plays for Week 6
CollegeFootballGeek.com’s Sneaky Plays - Week 6
By Kevin Mount, CollegeFootballGeek.com
The sixth week of the college football season is already here and there may be some owners looking for some under the radar fantasy options. Check out who we think could fill in nicely for fantasy teams in Week 6.
Nick Foles QB Arizona vs. Oregon State:
Foles has been solid this year and gets to take his shot at a bad Beavers secondary which ranks 87th in the land against the pass. With his main target Juron Criner healthy, Foles should have no problem lighting up the night sky in the dessert. Expect around 300 yards and a few scores in this contest.
Adam Froman QB Louisville vs. Memphis:
Froman is coming off a 308 yard and 3 score effort versus Arkansas State last week. He should be able to build upon that performance this week when he faces an inept Memphis pass defense that ranks 100th in the nation. The Cardinal should be able to work on their passing game and Froman could duplicate last week’s numbers in this game.
Geno Smith QB West Virginia vs. UNLV:
Smith has been impressive in his first year as a starter and could feast on the Rebels when they come to town this week. He has shown his ability to run and he might have to do more of that Saturday as start RB Noel Devine is banged up and might not be his usual productive self. A stat line of 300 total yards and 2 or 3 scores seem quite possible.
Kirk Cousins QB Michigan State vs. Michigan:
Cousins should be salivating at the prospect of playing against the Michigan pass defense this weekend. The Wolverines can’t stop anybody from throwing and rank 120th or DEAD last in the country against the pass. They were just torched for 480 yards against Indiana and I’m sure the Spartan’s coaching staff took notice. This game could be very high scoring and Cousins should find good success through the air.
Allen Bradford RB USC vs. Stanford:
Bradford finally broke out last week in a big way with 223 yards rushing and 2 scores in a loss to Washington. He looks to be back to form and just might wrestle the starting job away from Marc Tyler. He could find some nice room to run this week against the Cardinal and their 84th ranked rush defense. The Trojans may try to pound the ball to control the clock and keep the Stanford offense off the field, so Bradford could see a bunch of carries.
Daniel Herron RB Ohio State vs. Indiana:
Herron is fresh from a 95 yard and 1 score day against Illinois last week. Now, he gets to run against a pathetic Hoosiers rush defense that ranks 108th in the country and gives up over 200 yards per game on the ground. The 23 carries that Herron received last week show that he is starting to assert himself in the Buckeye backfield and should continue to see a steady diet of carries going forward.
James White RB Wisconsin vs. Minnesota:
This freshman has exploded onto the fantasy scene and there has even been talk that he could supplant John Clay as the starter. He has 243 yards rushing and 6 touchdowns over the past two games. With Gophers and their shoddy rush defense on tap this week, White could easily top 100 yards and add a couple of scores. He could put up #1 RB numbers this week.
Kenjon Barner RB Oregon vs. Washington State:
Remember him? Way back in the first week of the season, Barner exploded for over 200 total yards and scores against New Mexico while filling in for the suspended starter, LaMichael James. He has not done much since with James being the main Duck, but Barner could explode again this week against the pathetic Cougars defense. This game will be ugly and Barner should see plenty of action. Start him!
Gerell Robinson WR Arizona State vs. Washington:
Robinson is finally healthy and just put up 73 yards and a score against Oregon State last week. He looks to be a top option on a Sun Devils team that likes to chuck the ball around, so his numbers could increase going forward. He could top 100 yards this week against a suspect Huskies secondary.
Armand Robinson WR Miami Ohio vs. Cincinnati:
Robinson is the leading receiver for the Redhawks, but is coming off a poor outing against Kent State. He will probably be happy to see the Bearcats and their 109th ranked pass defense this week. This Redhawks will have to throw the ball often in this game and Robinson should benefit from that fact. A 100-yard day could be in Robinson’s future.
Chris Matthews WR Kentucky vs. Auburn:
Matthews has been a nice compliment to Randall Cobb this season and could find some room this week against Auburn. The Tigers rank 89th against the pass and Kentucky may need to throw often to keep pace with a potent Tigers offense.
Griff Whalen WR Stanford vs. USC:
Whalen got his shot last week against Oregon due to injuries and responded with 78 yards and a score. With the status of starters, Ryan Whalen and Chris Owusu in limbo, Whalen may get another chance to show his skills. With a terrible USC pass defense that ranks 116th in the country coming to Palo Alto, look for Whalen to produce once again.
Josh Chichester TE Louisville vs. Memphis:
Much as Adam Froman should have success this week against Memphis, so should Chichester. He had 4 catches for 66 yards last week and could match or even exceed those numbers this week.
Sneaky Play Defenses
Oklahoma State vs. Louisiana Lafayette
West Virginia vs. UNLV
Nevada vs. San Jose State
There you have it everyone, enjoy this week’s action and always remember to have fun playing college fantasy football.
For more college fantasy football information, visit CollegeFootballGeek.com:
- Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em
- Injury Reports
- Player Stock Reports
- Player Rankings
- Sneaky Plays of the Week
- Waiver Wire Reports
CollegeFootballGeek.com is your home for 2010 college fantasy football content! Draft kit, injury reports, player news, player projections, player rankings, mock drafts, community forums, and much more!
A special thanks to our friends at CollegeFootballGeek.com for providing us with their Week 6 Player Rankings
|QUARTERBACKS||RUNNING BACKS||WIDE RECEIVERS|
|1||Denard Robinson||MICH||1||LaMichael James||OREG||1||Justin Blackmon||OKST|
|2||Cam Newton||AUB||2||Vai Taua||NEV||2||Aldrick Robinson||SMU|
|3||Ryan Mallett||ARK||3||Kendall Hunter||OKST||3||Kealoha Pilares||HAW|
|4||Bryant Moniz||HAW||4||Bobby Rainey||WKU||4||Lyle Leong||TTECH|
|5||Colin Kaepernick||NEV||5||Mark Ingram||ALAB||5||Randall Cobb||KENT|
|6||Dan Persa||NW||6||Bilal Powell||LOUIS||6||Greg Salas||HAW|
|7||Terrelle Pryor||OHST||7||Chad Spann||NILL||7||Titus Young||BOISE|
|8||Taylor Potts||TTECH||8||Ronnie Hillman||SDST||8||Mohamed Sanu||RUT|
|9||Jerrod Johnson||TXA&M||9||Shane Vereen||CAL||9||Jeff Fuller||TX A&M|
|9||Brandon Weeden||OKST||10||Jacquizz Rodgers||ORGST||10||DJ Woods||CINCY|
|10||Zach Collaros||CIN||11||Jordan Todman||CONN||11||TJ Moe||MIZZU|
|11||Russell Wilson||NCST||12||Derrick Locke||KNTKY||12||Kris Adams||UTEP|
|12||GJ Kinne||TULSA||13||Lance Dunbar||NTEX||13||Vincent Brown||SDST|
|14||Dominique Davis||ECAR||14||Ed Wesley||TCU||14||Austin Pettis||BOISE|
|15||Jake Locker||WASH||15||Doug Martin||BOISE||15||Jeremy Ebert||NW|
|16||Robert Griffin||BAY||16||James White||WISC||16||Jermaine Kearse||WASH|
|17||Ryan Aplin||ARKST||17||Matt Brown||TEMP||17||AJ Green||UGA|
|18||Kyle Padron||SMU||18||J. Franklin||UCLA||18||Dwayne Harris||ECU|
|19||Steven Threat||AZST||19||Allen Bradford||USC||19||Kris Burd||UVA|
|20||Taylor Martinez||NEB||20||Andre Ellington||CLEM||20||Leo. Hankerson||MIAMI|
|21||Kellen Moore||BOISE||21||Vick Ballard||MISST||21||Jordan White||WMU|
|22||Ryan Lindley||SDST||22||John Clay||WISC||22||Armand Robinson||MIA-OH|
|23||Darron Thomas||OREG||23||Bryce Beall||HOU||23||Lester Jean||FAU|
|24||Jacory Harris||MIAFL||24||Darren Evans||VTECH||24||Michael Floyd||ND|
|25||Andrew Luck||STAN||25||Christine Michael||TXA&M||25||Juron Criner||ARIZST|
|26||Josh Nesbitt||GTECH||26||Chris Polk||WASH||26||Chad Bumphis||MISSST|
|27||Blaine Gabbert||MIZZU||27||Zach Line||SMU||27||Chris Matthews||KENT|
|28||Diondre Borel||UTST||28||Ray Graham||PITT||28||Darvin Adams||AUB|
|29||Kolton Browning||LAMON||29||Jared Tew||AFA||29||Ronald Johnson||USC|
|30||Christian Ponder||FSU||30||Daniel Herron||OSU||30||Armon Binns||SMU|
|31||Kirk Cousins||MCHST||31||Deantre Lewis||AZST||31||Alshon Jeffrey||SCAR|
|32||Adam Froman||LOUIS||32||Edwin Baker||MSU||32||Greg Childs||ARK|
|33||Matt Barkley||USC||33||Trent Richardson||ALAB||33||Kamar Jorden||BGREEN|
|34||Austin Davis||SMISS||34||LeVeon Bell||MCHST||34||Keshawn Martin||MICHST|
|35||Alex Carder||WMICH||35||Stepfan Taylor||STAN||35||Cody Wilson||CMU|
|36||Geno Smith||WVU||36||JJ Di Luigi||BYU||36||Theo Riddick||ND|
|37||Trent Steelman||ARMY||37||Tauren Poole||TENN||37||DeVier Posey||OHIO ST|
|38||Austin Arnaud||IWST||38||Cameron Marshall||AZST||38||Jereme Brooks||UTAH|
|39||Nick Foles||ARIZ||39||Derrvin Speight||USU||39||Roy Roundtree||MICH|
|40||Ryan Colburn||FRESN||40||Kenjon Barner||OREG||40||D. Sanzenbacher||OHIO ST|
|41||Dayne Crist||ND||41||Rodney Stewart||COLO||41||Juan Nunez||WMU|
|42||BJ Daniels||USF||42||Daniel Thomas||KSU||42||Tavon Austin||WVU|
|43||Chris Relf||MISST||43||Shaun Draughn||UNC||43||Cole Beasley||SMU|
|44||Tyler Hanson||COLO||44||Delone Carter||SYRA||44||Mark Dell||MICHST|
|45||Chandler Harnish||NILL||45||Sam McGuffie||RICE||45||Tandon Doss||IND|
|46||TJ Yates||UNC||46||Jacquise Terry||KENTST||46||Jamel Hamler||FRESNO|
|47||Mike Hartline||KNTKY||47||Matthew Tucker||TCU||47||Damaris Johnson||TULSA|
|48||Larry Smith||VANDY||48||Mikel LeShoure||ILL||48||Kendall Wright||BAY|
|49||Trevor Vittatoe||UTEP||49||Alex. Robinson||IWST||49||Jeremey Kerley||TCU|
|50||Kevin Riley||CAL||50||Jon. Williams||ECAR||50||Owen Spencer||NCST|
|1||Michael Egnew||MIZZU||1||Devin Barclay||OHIOST||1||TCU|
|2||Lance Kendricks||WISC||2||Dan Bailey||OKST||2||Boise State|
|3||Kyle Rudolph||ND||3||Kai Forbath||UCLA||3||Virginia Tech|
|4||George Bryan||NCST||4||Nate Whitaker||STAN||4||Alabama|
|5||Rob Housler||FAU||5||Grant Ressel||MIZZU||5||Oregon|
|6||DJ Williams||ARK||6||Rob Beard||ORE||6||Florida|
|7||Zack Pianalto||UNC||7||Kyle Brotzman||BOISE||7||Oklahoma State|
|8||D. Dunsmore (Inj)||NW||8||Philip Welch||WISC||8||Connecticut|
|9||David Paulson||OREG||9||Blair Walsh||UGA||9||Nebraska|
|10||Coby Fleener||STAN||10||Anthony Martinez||NEV||10||West Virginia|
|11||Jack Doyle||WKU||11||Scott Enos||HAW||11||Nevada|
|12||L. Green (Inj)||ULL||12||Kevin Fitzpatrick||TULSA||12||Northwestern|
|13||Joe Halahuni||ORG ST||13||Eric Folk||WASH||13||Ohio State|
|14||Virgil Green||NEVADA||14||Dan Conroy||MICHST||14||Miami (FL)|
|15||Collin Franklin||IW ST||15||Jake Rogers||CINCY||15||Penn State|
|16||Brandon Barden||VAND||16||Chris Hazley||VTECH||16||Vanderbilt|
|17||Eric Lair||MINN||17||Ross Evans||TCU||17||Air Force|
|18||Dwayne Allen||CLEM||18||Dakota Warren||UTEP||18||NC State|
|19||P. Lutzenkirchen||AUB||19||Thomas Weber||ARIZST||19||Wisconsin|
|20||David Blackburn||CMU||20||Wes Byrum||AUB||20||Utah|
|21||Kyle Efaw||BOISE||21||Randy Bullock||TX A&M||21||Army|
|22||Charlie Gantt||MICHST||22||Collin Wagner||PSU||22||Florida State|
|23||Ted Bolser||IND||23||Alex Henery||NEB||23||South Florida|
|24||Ben Thayer||EMU||24||Josh Czajkoiwski||NCST||24||Louisville|
|25||Orson Charles||UGA||25||Dave Teggart||UCONN||25||Arkansas|
|For complete college fantasy football player rankings and statistical projections, visit the CFG Big Board.|
|Scoring System Used for CFG Rankings:|
|4 points per passing touchdown|
|6 points per rushing/receiving touchdown|
|25 passing yards = 1 point|
|10 rushing/receiving yards = 1 point|
|1 interception = -2 point|
|1 reception = 0.5 points|